✨The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
Mua hàng tại Shopee giảm thêm 30%
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell, Sunday Times
'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph
'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics
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The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and
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Mua hàng tại Shopee giảm thêm 30%
VNĐ: 452,900
Mua hàng tại Shopee giảm thêm 30%
The Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and
Sách - The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Nonfiction / Economics Tác giả: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Nhà xuất bản: Penguin Books Năm xuất bản: 2010 Công ty phát hành: Penguin Books Loại bìa: Bìa mềm Số trang: 444 Trang Ngôn ngữ: Tiếng Anh ISBN: 9780141034591 Kích
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A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and
The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and
Tác giả: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Nhà xuất bản: Penguin Books Năm xuất bản: 2010 Công ty phát hành: Penguin Books Loại bìa: Bìa mềm Số trang: 444 Trang Ngôn ngữ: Tiếng Anh ISBN: 9780141034591 Kích
The Black Swan Second Edition The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Talebs landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we